Navigating the Nickel Downturn
Tajha Pritchard
This week witnessed the temporary shutdown of Wyloo's Cassini, Long, and Durkin nickel mines, along with BHP pausing a segment of its Kambalda processing operations, responding to recent nickel price declines in Australia.
The nickel market downturn has impacted various nickel miners in Australia, including Chalice Mining, First Quantum Minerals, IGO, and Panoramic Resources. This situation raises the crucial question: What is the optimal path forward for Australian nickel?
Given BHP's recent decision, the Association of Mining and Exploration Companies (AMEC) is urging the Federal Government to offer support to the nickel sector. Neil van Drunen, the acting CEO of AMEC, emphasized the need for government intervention to stimulate downstream processing, stating, "The commercial challenges faced by the nickel industry in Australia warrant some form of government intervention to encourage downstream processing. If the current nickel and lithium price downturn persists, the government should explore all options to reassure the sector, including potential royalty relief."
As part of its proposal, AMEC, set to participate in a minerals-focused roundtable with Federal Resources Minister Madeleine King on January 25, suggests introducing tax incentives to bolster Australia's critical minerals sector. Drunen explained, "AMEC is advocating for the implementation of a production tax credit (PTC) to support critical minerals producers, making Australia 10 percent more competitive in downstream processing. Including a PTC in the upcoming Commonwealth budget plans would send a powerful message to the industry, investors, and global markets that Australia remains a significant player."
The proposed PTC, inspired by a similar US Government initiative under the Inflation Reduction Act, would grant miners a 10 percent reduction in their tax obligations for producing refined critical mineral products.
Wyloo's CEO, Luca Giacovazzi, views the 10 percent production tax credit as one aspect of the solution and advocates for additional measures to provide relief to the critical minerals sector. Giacovazzi calls for incentivizing Australian nickel production through the introduction of the production tax credit, revising the royalties scheme, and facilitating access to funding support for capital investment.
Furthermore, Giacovazzi proposes the establishment of a 'green nickel price premium,' differentiating Australian-produced nickel adhering to robust environmental, social, and governance (ESG) standards from 'dirty' nickel produced in countries like Indonesia. He stresses the need for structural changes in nickel pricing to recognize the ESG credentials of nickel products and safeguard Australia's position as a supplier of low-carbon nickel under the United States' Inflation Reduction Act.
The push for pricing reform has garnered support from Minister King and Andrew Forrest. On January 25, WA nickel miners, including BHP, Glencore, IGO, and Wyloo, will convene for the roundtable to discuss potential solutions and the future of the Australian nickel industry.